His thinking reflects findings to date that the incidence of conflict is likely to be higher in years of lower precipitation. The assumption was that water scarcity from changed rainfall patterns resulting from climate change contributed to this conflict. In 2007, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon described the conflict in Sudan’s Darfur region as the world’s first climate change conflict. The report claims that temperature rises in Africa have coincided with significant increases in the likelihood of war.īut not everyone agrees that there is a direct link between climate change and increased conflict, in an ongoing academic debate that goes all the way to the top of the United Nations.
Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa is the title of a new research paper tabled in the Proceedings of the United States National Academy of Sciences. Does climate change cause conflict? It really depends on who you ask.
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